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solution

Complete the following scenario analysis : .

BoomCase:

A. Intheboomcaseyouexpectthatinsteadofincreasingby5% the number of sales will increase by 10% per year. In addition, the sales price will be 8% higher than in the base case, the raw materials cost will be 9% higher and the price of the factory will be 5% higher.

B. Bust case: In the bust case you expect that instead of increasing by 5% the number of sales will decrease by 10% per year. In addition, the sales price will be 8% lower than in the base case, the raw materials cost will be 9% lower and the price of the factory will be 5% lower.

C. Make a plot that shows the NPV ,IRR and payback period for the base case (done in the group component), the boom case and the bust case. I suggest using a column graph. You can plot everything together or plot them separately.

Given all of your results in the individual component as well as in your own scenario analysis, should you proceed with the project. In your answer make reference to all the metrics, break even points and scenario analyses you have done as well as how uncertainty affects our decision. (300 Words)

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